Ryota Tanuma vs Hikaru Shiraishi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Ryota Tanuma has a slight edge with a 44.16% win rate on second serve points compared to Hikaru Shiraishi's 41.33%. Could this second serve advantage tip the balance in Tanuma's favor?
• Return Game: Shiraishi slightly outperforms Tanuma in winning second serve return points at 46.52% versus 46.07%. Although close, does this small difference give Shiraishi an edge?
• First Serve Return: Both players are nearly identical with Tanuma slightly ahead at 28.55% compared to Shiraishi's 27.95%. Will this marginal gap impact their head-to-head dynamic?
• Under Pressure: Tanuma excels in saving breakpoints at 53.57% relative to Shiraishi's 48.74%. Could this resilience under pressure be a decisive factor?
• Performance Overview: Tanuma has a slightly better win/loss percentage (66.67%) over the past year than Shiraishi (64.10%). Does Tanuma have a consistent winning edge?
• Surface Preference: Both players favor hard courts with an equal win rate of 67%. Shiraishi, however, struggles significantly on Indoor hard courts, while Tanuma finds grass challenging. How does this affect their potential in varying conditions?
• Player Level: Shiraishi is more experienced at the Futures/Satellites/ITF level with 70.00% wins compared to Tanuma's 66.67%. Will experience tilt the scales in Shiraishi's favor?
• Direct Head-to-Head: They have met three times, with Shiraishi leading 2-1 in matches and 4-3 in sets. Shiraishi won their last encounter decisively. Will past performance predict future success?
• Opponent Quality: Shiraishi has faced opponents with a lower average rank (459.62) compared to Tanuma (238.11). Does Tanuma have an edge due to stronger competition?
• Deciding Set Performance: Shiraishi has a superior track record in deciding sets, winning 68% versus Tanuma's 50%. Could this make Shiraishi a stronger contender in tight matches?

Editorial Prediction (October 23, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match promises to be tightly contested, with both players having their strengths. Ryota Tanuma shows a slight edge in second serve performance and resilience in saving breakpoints, which could be crucial under pressure situations.

However, Hikaru Shiraishi’s capabilities in return games and past head-to-head success against Tanuma cannot be discounted. Shiraishi’s strong performance in deciding sets indicates his ability to handle competitive closing stages effectively.

Despite Tanuma's better opponent quality and break point saving stats, Shiraishi's head-to-head lead and return game prowess suggest he might have a slight upper hand going into this match.

Based on the data, Hikaru Shiraishi is most likely to win this upcoming tennis match.